Thursday, May 6, 2021

India and Pakistan

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Why nuclear tests in 18 took place? Brahma Chellany, Professor of Security Studies at the Centre for Policy Research in New Delhi puts three major motivations for India non-proliferation pressures; Chinese nuclear capabilities; tension with Pakistan cooped with Pakistani developing nuclear capacity supported by China; and failure of Global nuclear disarmament . Brahma mentions, that 'India has been a prime target of the CTBT and the proposed Fissile Material Cut-off Treaty (FMCT). The two measures are part of a 'dragnet strategy' to capture those in the NPT. The CTBT was a key catalyst in the Indian decision to become an overt weapon state … The CTBT made India acutely aware of the technical imperatives of its long-held nuclear option, and of its closing opportunity to test its prototype weapons. By seeking forcibly to 'capture' India through a coercive entry-into-force provision, and making a thinly veiled threat of sanctions if India refused, the CTBT left New Delhi with little choice' . Brahma also argues, that continues India's policy of strong support of the idea of Global nuclear disarmament did not meet adequate reply from nuclear club, and even the end of the Cold War did not change the situation in principle. As a result, 'in fact, India had been the only economy among the world's top ten to be without the protection of a nuclear arsenal or umbrella' . Brahma views nuclear threat from its neighbourhood as an important motivation for India's nuclear tests and displays this issue in the context of China-Pakistan anti-Indian axis. He fairly mentions, that China used India-Pakistan dispute for promoting Pakistani nuclearization and creating an additional trouble for its strategic rival in the region. 'Pakistan is prominent in Indian strategic planning because of its China connection. Without that link, Islamabad would not be able to sustain its bellicosity towards India, or pose the level of nuclear and missile threat that it does … In its strategic calculations, the importance China attaches to Pakistan is similar to that which the US attaches to Israel' . What undoubtedly comes from this observation is, that in this nuclear triangle India-Pakistan old animosity puts significant contribution in promoting nuclear race.


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